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Additive effects of climate change on connectivity between marine protected areas and larval supply to fished areas ArchiMer
Andrello, Marco; Mouillot, David; Somot, Samuel; Thuiller, Wilfried; Manel, Stephanie.
AimTo study the combined effects of climate change on connectivity between marine protected areas (MPAs) and larval supply to the continental shelf. LocationThe Mediterranean Sea, where sea surface temperatures are expected to strongly increase by the end of the 21st century, represents an archetypal situation with a dense MPA network but resource overexploitation outside. MethodsUsing an individual-based mechanistic model of larval transport, forced with an emission-driven regional climate change scenario for the Mediterranean Sea, we explored the combined effects of changes in hydrodynamics, adult reproductive timing and larval dispersal on the connectivity among MPAs and their ability to seed fished areas with larvae. ResultsWe show that, over the...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Biophysical model; Conservation planning; Epinephelus marginatus; Larval dispersal; Larval growth rate; Reproductive timing.
Ano: 2015 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00627/73867/73398.pdf
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An End-to-End Model Reveals Losers and Winners in a Warming Mediterranean Sea ArchiMer
Moullec, Fabien; Barrier, Nicolas; Drira, Sabrine; Guilhaumon, François; Marsaleix, Patrick; Somot, Samuel; Ulses, Caroline; Velez, Laure; Shin, Yunne-jai.
The Mediterranean Sea is now recognized as a hotspot of global change, ranking among the fastest warming ocean regions. In order to project future plausible scenarios of marine biodiversity at the scale of the whole Mediterranean basin, the current challenge is to develop an explicit representation of the multispecies spatial dynamics under the combined influence of fishing pressure and climate change. Notwithstanding the advanced state-of-the-art modeling of food webs in the region, no previous studies have projected the consequences of climate change on marine ecosystems in an integrated way, considering changes in ocean dynamics, in phyto- and zoo-plankton productions, shifts in Mediterranean species distributions and their trophic interactions at the...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Biodiversity scenario; Climate change; Ecosystem model; End-to-end model; OSMOSE; Fishing; Mediterranean Sea.
Ano: 2019 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00504/61557/65469.pdf
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Assessing climate change impacts on marine biodiversity conservation: The case study of mass mortality events in the NW Mediterranean basin ArchiMer
Garrabou, Joachim; Bensoussan, Nathaniel; Pairaud, Ivane; Garreau, Pierre; Somot, Samuel; Linares, Cristina; Kersting, Diego K.; Cebrian, Emma; De Caralt, Sonia; Kipson, Silvija; Ledoux, Jean-baptiste; Frleta-valic, Masa.
The Mediterranean is considered a biodiversity hot‐spot. The Mediterranean represents less than 1% of global ocean surface, but it hosts about 20% of marine biodiversity with a high level of endemic species. The Mediterranean is also considered a hot‐spot for climate change with expected warming over the average along with a very likely increase in the occurrence of heat waves in climate change. In fact Mediterranean waters have been already significantly warming up during the last decades, and this trend is expected to increase during the rest of the 21st century. Mediterranean marine ecosystems are already displaying clear responses to warming such as pelagic productivity, shifts in species’ geographical distributions, modifications of migratory patterns...
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Ano: 2013 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00164/27558/25724.pdf
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Characterizing, modelling and understanding the climate variability of the deep water formation in the North-Western Mediterranean Sea ArchiMer
Somot, Samuel; Houpert, Loic; Sevault, Florence; Testor, Pierre; Bosse, Anthony; Taupier-letage, Isabelle; Bouin, Marie-noelle; Waldman, Robin; Cassou, Christophe; Sanchez-gomez, Emilia; Durrieu De Madron, Xavier; Adloff, Fanny; Nabat, Pierre; Herrmann, Marine.
Observing, modelling and understanding the climate-scale variability of the deep water formation (DWF) in the North-Western Mediterranean Sea remains today very challenging. In this study, we first characterize the interannual variability of this phenomenon by a thorough reanalysis of observations in order to establish reference time series. These quantitative indicators include 31 observed years for the yearly maximum mixed layer depth over the period 1980–2013 and a detailed multi-indicator description of the period 2007–2013. Then a 1980–2013 hindcast simulation is performed with a fully-coupled regional climate system model including the high-resolution representation of the regional atmosphere, ocean, land-surface and rivers. The simulation reproduces...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Deep water formation; Open-sea deep convection; Interannual variability; Mediterranean Sea; Regional climate models; Climate trends.
Ano: 2016 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00348/45948/45654.pdf
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Estimating dense water volume and its evolution for the year 2012-2013 in the Northwestern Mediterranean Sea: An observing system simulation experiment approach ArchiMer
Waldman, Robin; Somot, Samuel; Herrmann, Marine; Testor, Pierre; Estournel, Claude; Sevault, Florence; Prieur, Louis; Mortier, Laurent; Coppola, Laurent; Taillandier, Vincent; Conan, Pascal; Dausse, Denis.
The Northwestern Mediterranean (NWMed) Sea includes one of the best observed ocean deep convection sites in the World. An observing system simulation experiment (OSSE) is developed to provide a methodology for estimating observing network errors. It is applied to quantify dense water volumes in the NWMed during 2012–2013 with their observation error from MOOSE network. Results from the OSSE show low spatiotemporal sampling errors, which confirms MOOSE network ability to measure dense waters. However, results are highly sensitive to instrumental stability. The dense water volume is then estimated in observations from four ship cruises between summers 2012 and 2013. A large seasonal cycle is found, maximal in spring 2013 and dominated by the area west of...
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Ano: 2016 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00350/46080/46025.pdf
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FishMed: traits, phylogeny, current and projected species distribution of Mediterranean fishes, and environmental data ArchiMer
Albouy, Camille; Lasram, Frida Ben Rais; Velez, Laure; Guilhaumon, François; Meynard, Christine N.; Boyer, Séverine; Benestan, Laura; Mouquet, Nicolas; Douzery, Emmanuel; Aznar, Roland; Troussellier, Marc; Somot, Samuel; Leprieur, Fabien; Le Loc'H, François; Mouillot, David.
The FishMed database provides traits, phylogeny, current and projected species distribution of Mediterranean fishes, and associated sea surface temperature (SST) from the regional oceanic model NEMOMED8. Data for the current geographical distributions of 635 Mediterranean fish species were compiled from a published expert knowledge atlas of fishes of the northern Atlantic and the Mediterranean (FNAM) edited between 1984 and 1986 and from an updated exotic fish species list. Two future sets of projected species distributions were obtained for the middle and end of the 21st century by using an ensemble forecasting approach for 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on SST according to the IPPC/SRES A2 scenario implemented with the Mediterranean...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Climate change; Coastal fishes; Functional diversity; Mediterranean fish species; Mediterranean Sea; NEMOMED8; Phylogenetic diversity; Species distribution models; Taxonomic diversity.
Ano: 2015 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00371/48216/48341.pdf
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HyMeX-SOP2: The Field Campaign Dedicated to Dense Water Formation in the Northwestern Mediterranean ArchiMer
Estournel, Claude; Testor, Pierre; Taupier-letage, Isabelle; Bouin, Marie-noelle; Coppola, Laurent; Durand, Pierre; Conan, Pascal; Bosse, Anthony; Brilouet, Pierre-etienne; Beguery, Laurent; Belamari, Sophie; Beranger, Karine; Beuvier, Jonathan; Bourras, Denis; Canut, Guylaine; Doerenbecher, Alexis; Durrieu De Madron, Xavier; D'Ortenzio, Fabrizio; Drobinski, Philippe; Ducrocq, Veronique; Fourrie, Nadia; Giordani, Herve; Houpert, Loic; Labatut, Laurent; Brossier, Cindy Lebeaupin; Nuret, Mathieu; Prieur, Louis; Roussot, Odile; Seyfried, Leo; Somot, Samuel.
The HYdrological cycle in the Mediterranean Experiment (HyMeX) Special Observing Period 2 (SOP2, January 27–March 15, 2013) was dedicated to the study of dense water formation in the Gulf of Lion in the northwestern Mediterranean. This paper outlines the deep convection of winter 2012–2013 and the meteorological conditions that produced it. Alternating phases of mixing and restratification are related to periods of high and low heat losses, respectively. High-resolution, realistic, three-dimensional models are essential for assessing the intricacy of buoyancy fluxes, horizontal advection, and convective processes. At the submesoscale, vertical velocities resulting from symmetric instabilities of the density front bounding the convection zone are crucial...
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Ano: 2016 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00386/49688/50224.pdf
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Modeling the intense 2012-2013 dense water formation event in the northwestern Mediterranean Sea: Evaluation with an ensemble simulation approach ArchiMer
Waldman, Robin; Somot, Samuel; Herrmann, Marine; Bosse, Anthony; Caniaux, Guy; Estournel, Claude; Houpert, Loic; Prieur, Louis; Sevault, Florence; Testor, Pierre.
The northwestern Mediterranean Sea is a well-observed ocean deep convection site. Winter 2012-2013 was an intense and intensely documented dense water formation (DWF) event. We evaluate this DWF event in an ensemble configuration of the regional ocean model NEMOMED12. We then assess for the first time the impact of ocean intrinsic variability on DWF with a novel perturbed initial state ensemble method. Finally, we identify the main physical mechanisms driving water mass transformations. NEMOMED12 reproduces accurately the deep convection chronology between late January and March, its location off the Gulf of Lions although with a southward shift and its magnitude. It fails to reproduce the Western Mediterranean Deep Waters salinification and warming,...
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Ano: 2017 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00363/47379/47365.pdf
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Multiscale Observations of Deep Convection in the Northwestern Mediterranean Sea During Winter 2012-2013 Using Multiple Platforms ArchiMer
Testor, Pierre; Bosse, Anthony; Houpert, Loic; Margirier, Felix; Mortier, Laurent; Legoff, Herve; Dausse, Denis; Labaste, Matthieu; Karstensen, Johannes; Hayes, Daniel; Olita, Antonio; Ribotti, Alberto; Schroeder, Katrin; Chiggiato, Jacopo; Onken, Reiner; Heslop, Emma; Mourre, Baptiste; D'Ortenzio, Fabrizio; Mayot, Nicolas; Lavigne, Heloise; De Fommervault, Orens; Coppola, Laurent; Prieur, Louis; Taillandier, Vincent; De Madron, Xavier Durrieu; Bourrin, Francois; Many, Gael; Damien, Pierre; Estournel, Claude; Marsaleix, Patrick; Taupier-letage, Isabelle; Raimbault, Patrick; Waldman, Robin; Bouin, Marie-noelle; Giordani, Herve; Caniaux, Guy; Somot, Samuel; Ducrocq, Veronique; Conan, Pascal.
During winter 2012-2013, open-ocean deep convection which is a major driver for the thermohaline circulation and ventilation of the ocean, occurred in the Gulf of Lions (Northwestern Mediterranean Sea) and has been thoroughly documented thanks in particular to the deployment of several gliders, Argo profiling floats, several dedicated ship cruises, and a mooring array during a period of about a year. Thanks to these intense observational efforts, we show that deep convection reached the bottom in winter early in February 2013 in a area of maximum 28±3 109m9. We present new quantitative results with estimates of heat and salt content at the sub-basin scale at different time scales (on the seasonal scale to a ten days basis) through optimal interpolation...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Ocean observation; Oceanic deep convection; Mediterranean Sea; Energy and buoyancy fluxes; Eddies; Plumes; Symmetric instability.
Ano: 2018 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00415/52639/53494.pdf
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Projected Effects of Climate-Induced Changes in Hydrodynamics on the Biogeochemistry of the Mediterranean Sea Under the RCP 8.5 Regional Climate Scenario ArchiMer
Pagès, Rémi; Baklouti, Melika; Barrier, Nicolas; Ayache, Mohamed; Sevault, Florence; Somot, Samuel; Moutin, Thierry.
The Mediterranean region has been shown to be particularly exposed to climate change, with observed trends that are more pronounced than the global tendency. In forecast studies based on a RCP 8.5 scenario, there seems to be a consensus that, along with an increase in temperature and salinity over the next century, a reduction in the intensity of deep-water formation and a shallowing of the mixed layer [especially in the North-Western Mediterranean Sea (MS)] are expected. By contrast, only a few studies have investigated the effects of climate change on the biogeochemistry of the MS using a 3D physical/biogeochemical model. In this study, our aim was to explore the impact of the variations in hydrodynamic forcing induced by climate change on the...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Mediterranean Sea; Coupled hydrodynamic-biogeochemical model; RCP scenario; Biogeochemistry; Climate change.
Ano: 2020 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00659/77073/78385.pdf
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